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Sep 28, 2012
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deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. in 2000, al gore said don't believe the polls, polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasionally unpaid communications advisor for the romn
deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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governor romney said he wouldn't. governor romney said it was tragic that we entered the iraq war. one of the reasons that al qaeda strengthened during the last decade was our focus in iraq. so we are happy to have this debate and we'll have it obviously -- >> was this an intelligence failure? >> no. this was an event obviously, a complex event. we're only talking about a matter of weeks here. so as information was arrived at, as determinations were made, that was shared with the american people. and i think again the focus needs to be how do we make sure that our facilities and ambassadors and our personnel are secure going forward. and that's what the focus is on. >> as you know, the chairman of the homeland security committee has called for susan rice to resign. >> she's done an excellent job for this country and this administration. >> ben ghazi is so bad that the fbi can't even go in and investigate. what about the fact that there are military operations to find ambassador stephens' killers? what is america doing to change the trajectory in libya? >> well, i'm not going to spe
governor romney said he wouldn't. governor romney said it was tragic that we entered the iraq war. one of the reasons that al qaeda strengthened during the last decade was our focus in iraq. so we are happy to have this debate and we'll have it obviously -- >> was this an intelligence failure? >> no. this was an event obviously, a complex event. we're only talking about a matter of weeks here. so as information was arrived at, as determinations were made, that was shared with the...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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i support mitt romney. >> i'm mitt romney, and a prove this message. >> sean: anytime you run an ad and you get more on the other party supporting you, that's got to be a good ad, right, by definition? >> exactly. and what was powerful there is you've got real people. i mean this guy -- the grit on his face, and what they have to go through in mining coal, it was the kind of ad that relates to hard working working class voters, people from places like ohio and michigan. sean, the only question i have, because the ads are powerful right now, and that was a good one, why did they wait till the third week of september to start running that ad? that i don't understand. >> sean: good point, good question. obama, back to class warfare. not one of us attacking romney for his wealth, which let's see if it resonates. i don't think it will. i haven't seen the dials yet. let's take a look. >> i'm barack obama. a prove this message. >> seen these new ads where mitt romney says he's a friend of coal country? this is the guy who wants to keep tax breaks for companies that ship american jobs overseas.
i support mitt romney. >> i'm mitt romney, and a prove this message. >> sean: anytime you run an ad and you get more on the other party supporting you, that's got to be a good ad, right, by definition? >> exactly. and what was powerful there is you've got real people. i mean this guy -- the grit on his face, and what they have to go through in mining coal, it was the kind of ad that relates to hard working working class voters, people from places like ohio and michigan. sean,...
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Oct 1, 2012
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mitt romney? >> that's not the issue, to me. i think he will -- i think he's principled in the sense that he will keep the commitments that he has made. almost all people when they run for president make a number of commitments. when they get elected, almost all presidents since modern studies have been done, the last seven or eight presidents, make an exceptional effort to do what they said they were going to do. when there's an exception to that, there's normally an overwhelming reason. abraham lincoln promised not to free the slaves. we're glad he didn't. reagan promised to balance the budget. we're glad he didn't try. almost every other president may have one smaller issue. but, by and large, they all do what they said they were going to do. yes, i think we should assume that he will be principled on that. he knows what he promised to do in the primary. and what he said in the general has been consistent with that. we should assume that is what he would do. >> under normal circumstances, the incumbent president with 8.2% une
mitt romney? >> that's not the issue, to me. i think he will -- i think he's principled in the sense that he will keep the commitments that he has made. almost all people when they run for president make a number of commitments. when they get elected, almost all presidents since modern studies have been done, the last seven or eight presidents, make an exceptional effort to do what they said they were going to do. when there's an exception to that, there's normally an overwhelming reason....
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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romn romney. would they drop some of the medicaid programs, would you cover fewer people and say there will be less federal dollars going to it. those are the two fewer differences. >> interesting, mitt romney at times appears to be softening on obama-care and embracing his plan in massachusetts strongly and people are kind of confused about that. has his posture changed? shifted? what? >> that's fair. i've talked to governor romney about this in this past. interesting certainly one of the things he said about massachusetts in order to get universal health care done one of the benefits patients wouldn't have to go to the emergency room where it's the most expensive to get health care, you probably heard the other day, americans do have health care, they can go to an emergency room. that was clearly a bit of shift and tough one to explain. overall, think he's still -- if you ask him, he still believes people should get health care insurance. i think the strategy how he wants to get there is very di
romn romney. would they drop some of the medicaid programs, would you cover fewer people and say there will be less federal dollars going to it. those are the two fewer differences. >> interesting, mitt romney at times appears to be softening on obama-care and embracing his plan in massachusetts strongly and people are kind of confused about that. has his posture changed? shifted? what? >> that's fair. i've talked to governor romney about this in this past. interesting certainly one...
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Sep 28, 2012
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beth myers, governor romney's individualer says she -- romney's adviser, blooms. since he won't and can't talk about his record, he will talk about mitt romney. the gloves will come off. megyn: beautiful wayne, p.a. out in oregon today there is new controversy. hundreds of millions in taxpayer dollars in loans about to go to a startup solar company called solopower. many are comparing this to solyndra, the company that went bankrupt, leaving taxpayers on the hook. it's not just this controversy we want to tell you about, but what happened when fox news tried to speak with the company's ceo. dan springer streaming live from solo power in portland, oregon. >> reporter: the ceo refused to answer any of our questions at grand opening yesterday, even after taking questions from other media. solopower is getting lot of money from the government. we wanted to ask him why his company was a better gamble for taxpayers than solyndra or the others. the companies use the same raw materials. they both make thin, light, flexible solar panels that can go object big box store roo
beth myers, governor romney's individualer says she -- romney's adviser, blooms. since he won't and can't talk about his record, he will talk about mitt romney. the gloves will come off. megyn: beautiful wayne, p.a. out in oregon today there is new controversy. hundreds of millions in taxpayer dollars in loans about to go to a startup solar company called solopower. many are comparing this to solyndra, the company that went bankrupt, leaving taxpayers on the hook. it's not just this controversy...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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pounding the daylights out of him, and romney's or -- >> sean: i don't get it. i don't know why we're not seeing more pounding by him. do you think it starts next wednesday in colorado? >> sometimes he says positive things about obama. he cares about the middle class. no, barack obama doesn't care about the middle class. if he cared about the middle class, he wouldn't be putting through obama tax hikes on people in the middle class. >> let me just say that next wednesday night, this is it. they need to turn this campaign around. debates are vehicles of challengers. this is his chance to do this. >> sean: we need the mitt romney that showed up after losing south carolina, where he went into that state up double digits, and came out winning by double digits -- i'm sorry -- lost by double digits, then went to florida and had two debates with newt, that's the romney i want. >> the one-on-one debate forum is not necessarily president obama's best either. they've been after him for $700 million on character. the american people get 90 minutes to see whether or not tha
pounding the daylights out of him, and romney's or -- >> sean: i don't get it. i don't know why we're not seeing more pounding by him. do you think it starts next wednesday in colorado? >> sometimes he says positive things about obama. he cares about the middle class. no, barack obama doesn't care about the middle class. if he cared about the middle class, he wouldn't be putting through obama tax hikes on people in the middle class. >> let me just say that next wednesday...
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Sep 28, 2012
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this is mitt romney live in wayne, left ofphiladelphia. this is at the valley rge military academy and college. let's listen in. >>one of our national hymns says it well, in my view. oh beautiful for heroes proved elf iberating strife who more eir country ved and mercy more than life. for all of youho serd in our military, would you please raise yr h, those also in the military today, please raise your hand d thanu. >> now, about a year ago i had the opportunity to speak at the cil in south carolina where al anoso militar academy was training yog people to consider miliry, andust like this group of cadets behind me, they didn't move when i told my jokes, so i learned not to worry about that. at that address that i gave there, i said a number of things that i thought were important. one was that this next century, the one we're now in, must be a american century, and by that i mean that america must continue to ld e wod and the ee world must continue to lead the entire world. there otdels out around the world wondering should we follow amer
this is mitt romney live in wayne, left ofphiladelphia. this is at the valley rge military academy and college. let's listen in. >>one of our national hymns says it well, in my view. oh beautiful for heroes proved elf iberating strife who more eir country ved and mercy more than life. for all of youho serd in our military, would you please raise yr h, those also in the military today, please raise your hand d thanu. >> now, about a year ago i had the opportunity to speak at the cil...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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what you expect from romney? >> we are not entirely sure. the story indicates some of his advisers really want him to count obama over this attack in libya, in benghazi, four americans, including the ambassador, died. his chief advisor is say it is still all about the economy. they are concerned, but not that concerned, as opposed to jobs or something like that. every day he is talking about foreign affairs is a day they are not talking about the economy. there is a real divide about what romney should do. >> we should point out the economy will be the topic at this debate, at least it will be domestic policy, for the most part. do we expect -- to mention romney might come out with more specifics. he spent four minutes on his specific plans for the economy during his speech. what do we expect this time around? >> we expect him to lay out more detail in this format, although whether it allows itself to an in-depth policy discussion is another matter. he is under a lot of pressure, especially under -- from conservative pundits, to put more mea
what you expect from romney? >> we are not entirely sure. the story indicates some of his advisers really want him to count obama over this attack in libya, in benghazi, four americans, including the ambassador, died. his chief advisor is say it is still all about the economy. they are concerned, but not that concerned, as opposed to jobs or something like that. every day he is talking about foreign affairs is a day they are not talking about the economy. there is a real divide about what...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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what romney is saying. the reason they have to make she is assumptions is that romney is not showing anyone his tax plan. >> if he can win this with the middle class -- i'm speaking from one small focus group. they cared a lot about it. if this could be something that helps him move this election in swing states and he has to get more specific on loopholes and what he can close, should he do it next time in the next debate? >> that will be a decision the campaign makes. i don't have any idea. i think the american people will go one level above that and ask what are we trying to accomplish here? we're trying to accomplish growth, a set of policies that leads to growth. they're very discontented with the record of the president. the president tries very hard not to talk about it for exactly that reason and point the finger as much as he can at mr. romney. the trouble will be if he demands those details of mr. romney, he will then have to go back and explain how he fills in a gap in a budget that by its own ad
what romney is saying. the reason they have to make she is assumptions is that romney is not showing anyone his tax plan. >> if he can win this with the middle class -- i'm speaking from one small focus group. they cared a lot about it. if this could be something that helps him move this election in swing states and he has to get more specific on loopholes and what he can close, should he do it next time in the next debate? >> that will be a decision the campaign makes. i don't have...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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now, mitt romney has never made that claim. this is coming from a report making all kinds of arguments. and he's made all kinds of assumptions that the romney campaign has rejected. >> he's trying to close a lot of loopholes i know he doesn't want to close in order to make that true. >> also puts harvey rosen, you can also generate enough growth to avoid a middle class tax increase. there are a loft credible folks saying something else. it's a fact he's going to raise middle class tax. >> the obama campaign, david plouffe is a chris christie of the campaign saying their campaign is built on a tripod of lies and the president has said sometimes they just make things up. so it sounds like the democratic side is going to say, hey, liars. >> last i checked, isn't this called politics? you have lying all the time in politics. it is our responsibility to call folks out on it. on my tv 1 show, i have a segment called the biggest damn lie. it's the biggest one each week we hear in politics. >> that's got to be a very tough line to draw
now, mitt romney has never made that claim. this is coming from a report making all kinds of arguments. and he's made all kinds of assumptions that the romney campaign has rejected. >> he's trying to close a lot of loopholes i know he doesn't want to close in order to make that true. >> also puts harvey rosen, you can also generate enough growth to avoid a middle class tax increase. there are a loft credible folks saying something else. it's a fact he's going to raise middle class...
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09/12
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so is the man who wants to take his job, mitt romney. no doubt both of the conversations netanyahu will be pressing his case on iran. specifically what the u.s. is & other allied countries need to do to stop iran from getting a nuclear bomb. so here's what he said before the general assembly. >> where should a red line be drawn? a red line should be drawn right he here. before -- before iran completes the second stage of nuclear enrichment mess to make a bomb. >> it reminds us of that old boris and bullwinkle with the bomb and the fuse and all that. it was really quite bizarre way to demonstrate this red line. talk a little bit about what we anticipate, what we expect from this phone call, first of all, between president obama and netanyahu? >> well, as you know, president obama decided not to meet with mr. -- with prime minister netanyahu. so that was considered kind of, i guess, you know, a little cold shoulder, so what he is doing is he is going to have a phone call although they're not saying it directly, you can kind of feel that ma
so is the man who wants to take his job, mitt romney. no doubt both of the conversations netanyahu will be pressing his case on iran. specifically what the u.s. is & other allied countries need to do to stop iran from getting a nuclear bomb. so here's what he said before the general assembly. >> where should a red line be drawn? a red line should be drawn right he here. before -- before iran completes the second stage of nuclear enrichment mess to make a bomb. >> it reminds us...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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race is winnable for mitt romney? >> we're going to run in every state like we're five points down and we've always said this race was going to be close, so our message to our supporters is don't be complacent. don't rest on any polls. put your blinders on. keep focus on the playbook. we'll sleep and hopefully celebrate on november 7th. we know there's going to be twists and turns. it's a narrower path than i think we would like, but still, 38 days is a long time to go. >> she's got to say that, right? she's got to get her people out to vote. i want to ask you because there's been so much criticism of the polls from the romney side of things. people have said the polls assume more democrats are going to turn out. at cnn, our polls do not assume that and chris wallace, fox news, said the criticism of the polls craziness. he said no self-respecting pollster in the country would a political party, so even fox doesn't seem to be backing the conspiracy theories on your side. >> all i'm doing is trying to explain there are
race is winnable for mitt romney? >> we're going to run in every state like we're five points down and we've always said this race was going to be close, so our message to our supporters is don't be complacent. don't rest on any polls. put your blinders on. keep focus on the playbook. we'll sleep and hopefully celebrate on november 7th. we know there's going to be twists and turns. it's a narrower path than i think we would like, but still, 38 days is a long time to go. >> she's got...
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why the romney campaign does not leave a minute to spare. air and i was startled by the numbers but they need to get the ads out and fast? >> look at i would this week the obama campaign says more than 100,000 ballots are from democrats versus 40,000 republicans. the obama campaign will hit them again and again. neil: i don't know the record but generally it is reflective of the moment look at the polls in favor the president. if you are mitt romney you don't have the moment to spare. >> you need to make a move quick. early voters are the hard partisans mostly the vote will not change voting today universe sixth. as strong as the psident's early voting program is as he invented the wheel so does the romney campaign and track it thoroughly. i expected to be competitive if he loses it is not due to the early voting program. but can he get ads on the ear pressed up to compete with the obama onslaught? neil: at the convention nassau lot of obama adds running six slate -- six /1. but they did seize the early initiative and but wonder if you are s
why the romney campaign does not leave a minute to spare. air and i was startled by the numbers but they need to get the ads out and fast? >> look at i would this week the obama campaign says more than 100,000 ballots are from democrats versus 40,000 republicans. the obama campaign will hit them again and again. neil: i don't know the record but generally it is reflective of the moment look at the polls in favor the president. if you are mitt romney you don't have the moment to spare....
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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that is what romney talks about. when sigh him do that, i feel pretty good about because i think he is on the right path. you may not hear it through the mega phone of national media and he should do it more. >> paul: i paid attention to your race in 2010. you ran against a candidate ted strickland very much like the president is, tried to associate with you wall street and big banks. you beat him. how can mitt romney beat a campaign like that in ohio? >> he's got to be here paul. he was in high hometown not long ago. he had an overflow crowd that was amazing. i've been around a lot of national campaigns. when you are out with him. you see the enthusiasm. look the most important thing for candidate running for president is to get people to understand that he understands their problems or she understands their problems and knows how to fix them. jim roads the fourth term governor of ohio, all that matters in ohio is the size of this wallet. sf it's getting fatter, they will do well. if it is small are, they will not d
that is what romney talks about. when sigh him do that, i feel pretty good about because i think he is on the right path. you may not hear it through the mega phone of national media and he should do it more. >> paul: i paid attention to your race in 2010. you ran against a candidate ted strickland very much like the president is, tried to associate with you wall street and big banks. you beat him. how can mitt romney beat a campaign like that in ohio? >> he's got to be here paul....
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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both barack obama and mitt romney were quick to seize on the numbers. here is our north america editor. >> snow in downtown denver slow down the rush hour, that millions of americans have no need form morning haste -- no need for morning haze. how to create more jobs has been central for this election. unemployment rose after barack obama became president, peaking at just over 10%. today's figure is the first time it has been under 8% for 44 months. >> this morning, we found out that the unemployment rate has fallen to its lowest level since i took office. [applause] >> the good news comes at the end of a bad week for the president where he was widely derided for a lackluster debate performance. now some feel he is back. >> we have made to much progress to return to the policies that led to the crisis in the first place. i cannot allow that to happen. i will not allow that to happen. that is why i am running for a second term as president of the united states. >> blaming unemployment on the president has been central to the case of republicans. >> under
both barack obama and mitt romney were quick to seize on the numbers. here is our north america editor. >> snow in downtown denver slow down the rush hour, that millions of americans have no need form morning haste -- no need for morning haze. how to create more jobs has been central for this election. unemployment rose after barack obama became president, peaking at just over 10%. today's figure is the first time it has been under 8% for 44 months. >> this morning, we found out...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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romney will win that. everyone is surprised that all of these polls are pretty much saying obama is in command of the lead. chuck talked about they lost august. one reading is that they lost the summer, the romney campaign. if you look at obama did, they did, at the start of this race was in may. that's when they started going out with tough ads and framing romney as someone who wasn't in touch with the middle class and the tax issue, him releasing his tax returns. he was always on the defensive and now he has a lot of ground to make up. gwen: is there an argument to be made that there is a policy shift going on in america's mind as well, not just a good speech or a good piece of positioning, but actually people are looking at their choices differently now? >> there are ways to think of this, not just through polling data but economic data and there is a surge of optimism. small business confidence is up. some financial market participant indexes are up. this would suggest that people are starting to feel
romney will win that. everyone is surprised that all of these polls are pretty much saying obama is in command of the lead. chuck talked about they lost august. one reading is that they lost the summer, the romney campaign. if you look at obama did, they did, at the start of this race was in may. that's when they started going out with tough ads and framing romney as someone who wasn't in touch with the middle class and the tax issue, him releasing his tax returns. he was always on the...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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a double mike huckabee told jay leno that romney reminds you of the guy you.ired >> romney isis not going to be e your pain. feels not a great politician. one of the reason at this -- it did not come . of nowowhere out of tens of million ads by the obama he handledbout how ith bain capital and all that. other essence was the series thasay he wants to produce taxes on the rich. reduce taxes on the e rich. romney has protested that that true, that he wants to the rich buttes on theitted to reform that share paid in taxes by the rich not change. he says that in intnterviews but never spell that out in way that would d get attention. meme is that t he wants to cut taxes on the rich, but the not, andthahat he would never stood up and w way that would have to command respononse and attention. >> there actually is a way, and not too late, because it is a simple message. true tax reform has the effec rates forg tax everybody, but all these special willest groups, everybody precious special loopholes, deductions. side, against the groups in wawashington. if h he proposes that, that is a .rue thing
a double mike huckabee told jay leno that romney reminds you of the guy you.ired >> romney isis not going to be e your pain. feels not a great politician. one of the reason at this -- it did not come . of nowowhere out of tens of million ads by the obama he handledbout how ith bain capital and all that. other essence was the series thasay he wants to produce taxes on the rich. reduce taxes on the e rich. romney has protested that that true, that he wants to the rich buttes on theitted to...